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Red201
7202127.3
659486.7
6591128.9
Blue278
2611158.6
5523130.2
7197137.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238349100200300400500201278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128.91.5
120.8122.3
Auto19.4
Teleop92.8
End15.0
blue by 29.7
158.62.2
144.6146.8
Auto22.1
Teleop118.8
End16.3
Second
7202
#21
127.35.2
109.6114.8
Auto17.7
Teleop96.5
End14.9
blue by 10.0
7197
#12
137.37.7
115.7123.4
Auto17.0
Teleop101.0
End19.0
Third
6594
#40
86.71.9
98.896.9
Auto12.7
Teleop68.3
End6.7
blue by 43.5
5523
#14
130.21.0
119.0120.0
Auto19.8
Teleop99.1
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed