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Red380
5282117.5
5674184.6
6635108.9
Blue185
5710114.4
5238139.8
5150167.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307310200250300350380185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.60.8
174.5175.3
Auto21.3
Teleop134.2
End28.9
red by 17.0
167.71.1
160.8161.9
Auto19.5
Teleop125.1
End27.3
Second
5282
#22
117.50.9
111.0111.8
Auto15.2
Teleop89.9
End12.0
blue by 22.3
5238
#10
139.80.4
137.2137.6
Auto17.1
Teleop104.2
End18.8
Third
6635
#26
108.90.1
103.8103.7
Auto14.4
Teleop83.7
End11.3
blue by 5.5
5710
#16
114.41.8
107.6109.4
Auto18.3
Teleop85.7
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed