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Red234
5523130.2
5676149.8
3655112.6
Blue256
6556118.4
6635108.9
5150167.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282315100150200250350400450500234256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.82.2
135.8138.1
Auto18.8
Teleop103.9
End28.5
blue by 17.9
167.70.5
161.9162.4
Auto19.5
Teleop125.1
End27.3
Second
5523
#14
130.20.8
120.0120.8
Auto19.8
Teleop99.1
End14.1
red by 11.9
6556
#15
118.40.4
114.5115.0
Auto17.5
Teleop86.9
End15.3
Third
3655
#30
112.61.6
115.3113.7
Auto17.3
Teleop90.9
End7.5
red by 3.7
6635
#26
108.90.9
103.7104.6
Auto14.4
Teleop83.7
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed