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Red254
7226112.7
7197137.3
6556118.4
Blue306
7254110.0
5676149.8
7056136.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286323100200400500254306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7197
#12
137.33.5
128.5132.1
Auto17.0
Teleop101.0
End19.0
blue by 12.5
149.82.0
138.1140.1
Auto18.8
Teleop103.9
End28.5
Second
6556
#15
118.40.3
115.0115.3
Auto17.5
Teleop86.9
End15.3
blue by 18.2
7056
#23
136.64.3
118.7123.0
Auto15.8
Teleop98.8
End26.1
Third
7226
#32
112.72.2
104.2106.3
Auto16.2
Teleop79.2
End21.2
red by 2.7
7254
#13
110.00.5
112.6112.2
Auto17.5
Teleop78.4
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed