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Red277
5238139.8
5688128.3
3655112.6
Blue200
6595113.7
6078121.4
7101104.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321243100200400500277200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5238
#10
139.80.5
137.5138.0
Auto17.1
Teleop104.2
End18.8
red by 18.4
6078
#17
121.40.8
115.5116.2
Auto17.1
Teleop89.1
End15.4
Second
5688
#20
128.30.9
127.3128.2
Auto17.2
Teleop95.6
End12.6
red by 14.6
6595
#29
113.70.7
114.7115.5
Auto17.9
Teleop87.5
End7.4
Third
3655
#30
112.60.9
113.7112.8
Auto17.3
Teleop90.9
End7.5
red by 8.1
7101
#31
104.50.6
101.1101.7
Auto14.9
Teleop78.4
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed