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Red410
6635108.9
6078121.4
494208.0
Blue224
7222133.8
659486.7
7101104.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4051430100200300500410224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#3
208.01.6
195.5197.1
Auto23.2
Teleop155.7
End29.7
red by 74.2
7222
#19
133.82.4
124.0126.3
Auto19.7
Teleop100.6
End16.2
Second
6078
#17
121.40.5
116.2116.7
Auto17.1
Teleop89.1
End15.4
red by 16.8
7101
#31
104.50.3
101.7102.0
Auto14.9
Teleop78.4
End9.4
Third
6635
#26
108.90.6
105.4105.9
Auto14.4
Teleop83.7
End11.3
red by 22.2
6594
#40
86.72.7
91.188.4
Auto12.7
Teleop68.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed