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Red397
5688128.3
302184.6
6078121.4
Blue264
1504146.9
6085128.1
2611158.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323332200250300350400450397264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#11
184.60.8
177.5178.3
Auto18.6
Teleop145.6
End21.9
red by 26.0
158.62.0
152.5154.5
Auto22.1
Teleop118.8
End16.3
Second
5688
#20
128.30.8
128.8128.0
Auto17.2
Teleop95.6
End12.6
blue by 18.5
1504
#25
146.90.3
147.6147.9
Auto19.3
Teleop107.9
End17.7
Third
6078
#17
121.41.0
116.7117.7
Auto17.1
Teleop89.1
End15.4
blue by 6.7
6085
#28
128.10.3
127.5127.9
Auto15.1
Teleop101.2
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed