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Red320
7226112.7
5150167.7
659486.7
Blue323
5205137.9
4568116.7
5238139.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513460100200300400500320323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.70.8
163.3164.1
Auto19.5
Teleop125.1
End27.3
red by 27.9
5238
#10
139.80.8
138.4139.2
Auto17.1
Teleop104.2
End18.8
Second
7226
#32
112.71.2
108.1109.3
Auto16.2
Teleop79.2
End21.2
blue by 25.2
137.90.2
141.6141.4
Auto18.9
Teleop107.8
End8.6
Third
6594
#40
86.70.8
88.487.5
Auto12.7
Teleop68.3
End6.7
blue by 30.0
4568
#35
116.70.2
116.9117.1
Auto18.2
Teleop85.3
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed