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Red332
5523130.2
7222133.8
6958114.4
Blue399
3655112.6
7226112.7
4216184.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2913300100200400500600332399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7222
#19
133.82.2
129.1131.3
Auto19.7
Teleop100.6
End16.2
blue by 50.6
184.41.2
179.9181.1
Auto24.8
Teleop139.2
End22.3
Second
5523
#14
130.21.8
125.7127.4
Auto19.8
Teleop99.1
End14.1
red by 17.6
7226
#32
112.71.0
109.3110.3
Auto16.2
Teleop79.2
End21.2
Third
6958
#34
114.40.2
113.4113.6
Auto16.6
Teleop85.0
End14.5
red by 1.8
3655
#30
112.60.2
111.2111.3
Auto17.3
Teleop90.9
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed