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Red191
5238139.8
5282117.5
659486.7
Blue448
7166111.6
5676149.8
5674184.6
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2173920100300500600700191448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5238
#10
139.80.3
139.2139.4
Auto17.1
Teleop104.2
End18.8
blue by 44.9
184.60.3
181.6181.9
Auto21.3
Teleop134.2
End28.9
Second
5282
#22
117.51.0
115.8116.8
Auto15.2
Teleop89.9
End12.0
blue by 32.3
149.81.7
143.7145.4
Auto18.8
Teleop103.9
End28.5
Third
6594
#40
86.70.4
87.587.1
Auto12.7
Teleop68.3
End6.7
blue by 24.9
7166
#33
111.60.8
109.5110.3
Auto15.5
Teleop87.1
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed