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Red168
5205137.9
7101104.5
6635108.9
Blue399
6591128.9
2611158.6
6556118.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248340100200300400500600700168399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.91.1
140.9139.8
Auto18.9
Teleop107.8
End8.6
blue by 20.7
158.61.4
155.8157.1
Auto22.1
Teleop118.8
End16.3
Second
6635
#26
108.90.9
108.0108.9
Auto14.4
Teleop83.7
End11.3
blue by 19.9
128.90.4
128.0128.4
Auto19.4
Teleop92.8
End15.0
Third
7101
#31
104.50.7
103.8104.5
Auto14.9
Teleop78.4
End9.4
blue by 13.8
6556
#15
118.40.2
117.8117.5
Auto17.5
Teleop86.9
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed