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Red363
4568116.7
6592111.7
4216184.4
Blue191
5282117.5
5523130.2
5688128.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322280100200400500363191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.41.3
181.1182.5
Auto24.8
Teleop139.2
End22.3
red by 54.1
5523
#14
130.22.1
127.4129.5
Auto19.8
Teleop99.1
End14.1
Second
4568
#35
116.70.2
116.9116.7
Auto18.2
Teleop85.3
End12.1
blue by 11.6
5688
#20
128.30.5
128.8128.3
Auto17.2
Teleop95.6
End12.6
Third
6592
#39
111.71.2
109.9111.1
Auto16.8
Teleop84.8
End11.3
blue by 5.8
5282
#22
117.50.7
116.8117.5
Auto15.2
Teleop89.9
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed