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Qual 802018 FIM District Lansing Event
Red201
7166111.6
7221102.9
6638103.7
Blue422
5676149.8
7226112.7
6078121.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2373480100200300400500600201422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7166
#33
111.61.4
110.3→111.6
Auto15.5
Teleop87.1
End10.7
blue by 38.2
5676
#5
149.82.0
145.4→147.4
Auto18.8
Teleop103.9
End28.5
Second
6638
#37
103.71.2
104.9→103.7
Auto15.6
Teleop83.5
End5.3
blue by 17.7
6078
#17
121.40.2
119.2→119.5
Auto17.1
Teleop89.1
End15.4
Third
7221
#38
102.90.2
102.7→102.9
Auto15.0
Teleop81.6
End9.1
blue by 9.8
7226
#32
112.71.2
110.3→111.5
Auto16.2
Teleop79.2
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned