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Red252
3641184.0
3604180.5
5067116.2
Blue457
5050166.8
3656179.7
6618166.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345391100200300500600700252457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.00.1
183.8183.9
Auto25.6
Teleop139.0
End18.3
red by 4.3
179.70.6
178.5179.1
Auto23.2
Teleop122.3
End35.2
Second
180.50.5
179.6180.1
Auto23.3
Teleop129.0
End28.9
red by 13.7
166.80.5
165.8166.3
Auto21.4
Teleop121.2
End24.3
Third
5067
#24
116.20.1
116.2116.2
Auto12.2
Teleop91.3
End12.4
blue by 50.3
6618
#26
166.50.1
166.2166.4
Auto17.0
Teleop123.4
End23.7