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Red419
3641184.0
3604180.5
5067116.2
Blue216
5567162.9
6150111.9
5498119.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3932620100200300500600419216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.00.1
183.9183.8
Auto25.6
Teleop139.0
End18.3
red by 21.1
5567
#18
162.90.1
163.1163.0
Auto20.0
Teleop118.6
End25.5
Second
180.50.4
177.4177.8
Auto23.3
Teleop129.0
End28.9
red by 61.0
5498
#20
119.50.5
118.4119.0
Auto17.9
Teleop89.0
End14.6
Third
5067
#24
116.20.2
116.6116.4
Auto12.2
Teleop91.3
End12.4
red by 4.3
6150
#12
111.90.4
111.2111.6
Auto17.2
Teleop80.1
End17.3