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Red470
5050166.8
3656179.7
6618166.5
Blue218
2832143.7
3547155.8
453117.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435276100200400500600700470218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.70.7
175.0175.7
Auto23.2
Teleop122.3
End35.2
red by 23.9
3547
#10
155.80.5
155.0155.4
Auto17.5
Teleop124.6
End14.3
Second
166.80.6
162.9163.5
Auto21.4
Teleop121.2
End24.3
red by 23.1
2832
#19
143.70.5
142.8143.3
Auto20.3
Teleop105.3
End18.9
Third
6618
#26
166.50.0
165.6165.7
Auto17.0
Teleop123.4
End23.7
red by 49.0
453
#27
117.50.2
117.2117.4
Auto15.7
Teleop89.8
End12.5