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Red308
3542147.5
1023185.4
5530144.2
Blue274
910155.9
6081126.5
6852140.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387298100200500600308274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
185.40.3
184.3184.6
Auto22.1
Teleop133.6
End30.0
red by 29.5
910
#14
155.90.3
155.4155.7
Auto22.8
Teleop118.0
End13.1
Second
3542
#11
147.50.2
148.3148.1
Auto21.8
Teleop113.3
End10.6
red by 6.7
6852
#31
140.80.0
140.8140.8
Auto18.8
Teleop106.4
End15.1
Third
5530
#15
144.20.1
144.1144.2
Auto21.1
Teleop108.6
End15.1
red by 17.7
126.50.8
125.0125.8
Auto17.0
Teleop90.6
End20.5