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Qual 112018 FIM District Lincoln Event
Red217
1023185.4
5066114.3
1502110.2
Blue293
3656179.7
5144104.6
6101127.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324274100200300400500217293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#4
185.40.1
186.8→186.7
Auto22.1
Teleop133.6
End30.0
red by 5.7
3656
#2
179.710.3
116.8→127.1
Auto23.2
Teleop122.3
End35.2
Second
5066
#21
114.30.9
104.8→105.7
Auto16.9
Teleop88.0
End11.4
blue by 12.8
6101
#32
127.10.9
134.5→133.6
Auto18.1
Teleop94.0
End12.2
Third
1502
#36
110.20.5
118.2→118.7
Auto15.1
Teleop84.8
End9.3
red by 5.7
5144
#38
104.65.0
97.9→102.9
Auto14.7
Teleop80.9
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed