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Red364
453117.5
3641184.0
3542147.5
Blue169
2832143.7
5853123.4
6852140.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343288100200400500364169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.02.2
174.3176.4
Auto25.6
Teleop139.0
End18.3
red by 40.3
2832
#19
143.76.5
120.7127.2
Auto20.3
Teleop105.3
End18.9
Second
3542
#11
147.57.4
118.3125.7
Auto21.8
Teleop113.3
End10.6
red by 6.7
6852
#31
140.80.5
143.1143.5
Auto18.8
Teleop106.4
End15.1
Third
453
#27
117.50.1
107.1107.2
Auto15.7
Teleop89.8
End12.5
blue by 5.8
5853
#30
123.46.0
100.2106.2
Auto15.8
Teleop94.7
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed