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Red317
3542147.5
5498119.5
3322134.7
Blue277
5567162.9
66166.6
3414124.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284333100200400500600317277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3542
#11
147.55.9
125.7131.6
Auto21.8
Teleop113.3
End10.6
blue by 19.1
66
#5
166.66.4
129.7136.2
Auto21.6
Teleop125.7
End21.8
Second
3322
#16
134.76.8
114.5121.3
Auto18.1
Teleop101.2
End15.6
blue by 28.2
5567
#18
162.910.5
121.4131.9
Auto20.0
Teleop118.6
End25.5
Third
5498
#20
119.55.8
109.5115.3
Auto17.9
Teleop89.0
End14.6
blue by 4.7
3414
#29
124.25.2
115.5120.7
Auto17.3
Teleop96.7
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed