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Red273
5066114.3
5530144.2
3414124.2
Blue328
6538141.0
3641184.0
6029105.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248381100200300500273328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5530
#15
144.25.4
127.6133.0
Auto21.1
Teleop108.6
End15.1
blue by 39.8
184.01.6
178.4180.0
Auto25.6
Teleop139.0
End18.3
Second
3414
#29
124.23.7
120.7124.5
Auto17.3
Teleop96.7
End10.6
blue by 16.8
6538
#22
141.05.8
137.6143.4
Auto21.5
Teleop103.9
End14.6
Third
5066
#21
114.31.7
107.0108.8
Auto16.9
Teleop88.0
End11.4
red by 8.4
6029
#35
105.90.2
113.8113.6
Auto16.7
Teleop78.2
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed