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Red330
66166.6
6101127.1
4568110.1
Blue284
3547155.8
6029105.9
5144104.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2853020100200400500600700800330284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#5
166.63.4
140.7144.1
Auto21.6
Teleop125.7
End21.8
red by 10.8
3547
#10
155.81.9
145.7147.6
Auto17.5
Teleop124.6
End14.3
Second
6101
#32
127.10.4
131.8131.4
Auto18.1
Teleop94.0
End12.2
red by 21.2
6029
#35
105.90.5
113.6113.1
Auto16.7
Teleop78.2
End11.2
Third
4568
#17
110.12.1
106.0108.1
Auto16.0
Teleop83.1
End13.0
red by 5.6
5144
#38
104.63.4
109.9113.3
Auto14.7
Teleop80.9
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed