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Red365
3547155.8
4395130.2
6013102.3
Blue165
2832143.7
1502110.2
470129.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255309100200400365165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3547
#10
155.81.4
148.6150.1
Auto17.5
Teleop124.6
End14.3
red by 12.1
2832
#19
143.70.3
139.9140.2
Auto20.3
Teleop105.3
End18.9
Second
4395
#28
130.20.2
119.9120.1
Auto13.4
Teleop104.0
End14.5
red by 0.5
470
#23
129.61.6
125.9127.5
Auto18.7
Teleop103.6
End7.7
Third
6013
#37
102.32.9
103.0100.1
Auto13.9
Teleop81.6
End6.5
blue by 7.9
1502
#36
110.20.5
114.0113.5
Auto15.1
Teleop84.8
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed