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Red138
3542147.5
5144104.6
6150111.9
Blue309
910155.9
3547155.8
6101127.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2193890100300500600138309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3542
#11
147.50.1
151.3151.2
Auto21.8
Teleop113.3
End10.6
blue by 8.4
910
#14
155.94.8
147.8152.6
Auto22.8
Teleop118.0
End13.1
Second
6150
#12
111.92.0
107.2109.1
Auto17.2
Teleop80.1
End17.3
blue by 43.9
3547
#10
155.82.1
150.1152.2
Auto17.5
Teleop124.6
End14.3
Third
5144
#38
104.62.7
112.3109.5
Auto14.7
Teleop80.9
End9.0
blue by 22.5
6101
#32
127.10.6
131.7131.2
Auto18.1
Teleop94.0
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed