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Red432
3547155.8
5216147.2
3604180.5
Blue209
3322134.7
5708111.9
5530144.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4232310100200300500600432209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.52.1
171.9174.0
Auto23.3
Teleop129.0
End28.9
red by 36.3
5530
#15
144.21.4
140.2141.6
Auto21.1
Teleop108.6
End15.1
Second
3547
#10
155.81.1
152.2153.2
Auto17.5
Teleop124.6
End14.3
red by 21.1
3322
#16
134.71.0
135.5134.5
Auto18.1
Teleop101.2
End15.6
Third
147.23.1
143.0146.1
Auto17.5
Teleop105.0
End24.6
red by 35.4
5708
#33
111.90.6
109.7110.4
Auto16.9
Teleop85.5
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed