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Red262
470129.6
5567162.9
6029105.9
Blue282
5216147.2
2832143.7
5530144.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276374100200500600262282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5567
#18
162.90.8
163.9163.1
Auto20.0
Teleop118.6
End25.5
red by 15.7
147.20.3
148.1147.8
Auto17.5
Teleop105.0
End24.6
Second
470
#23
129.60.1
128.4128.5
Auto18.7
Teleop103.6
End7.7
blue by 14.6
5530
#15
144.21.2
142.9144.1
Auto21.1
Teleop108.6
End15.1
Third
6029
#35
105.91.0
106.9105.9
Auto16.7
Teleop78.2
End11.2
blue by 37.8
2832
#19
143.73.0
139.9142.8
Auto20.3
Teleop105.3
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed