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Red287
3322134.7
830126.4
470129.6
Blue195
6618166.5
6861126.9
5498119.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2963180100200400500600700287195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#16
134.710.4
104.1114.5
Auto18.1
Teleop101.2
End15.6
blue by 31.9
6618
#26
166.51.3
163.0164.3
Auto17.0
Teleop123.4
End23.7
Second
470
#23
129.61.3
121.0122.3
Auto18.7
Teleop103.6
End7.7
red by 2.8
126.98.8
77.786.5
Auto21.1
Teleop94.8
End12.9
Third
830
#13
126.40.1
120.3120.2
Auto17.4
Teleop95.7
End11.0
red by 7.0
5498
#20
119.59.4
100.1109.5
Auto17.9
Teleop89.0
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed