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Red402
302209.7
27187.7
6116106.2
Blue203
3641190.1
503175.6
695488.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404305200500600700402203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#2
209.70.4
208.8209.2
Auto21.8
Teleop158.8
End31.3
red by 19.6
190.10.2
189.7190.0
Auto24.2
Teleop146.3
End21.6
Second
27
#1
187.70.4
186.8187.2
Auto25.7
Teleop130.3
End33.4
red by 12.1
503
#4
175.60.0
175.8175.8
Auto27.0
Teleop121.9
End26.9
Third
6116
#32
106.20.0
106.2106.2
Auto14.5
Teleop77.4
End16.4
red by 17.8
6954
#39
88.40.3
87.988.2
Auto15.5
Teleop64.0
End10.8