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Red321
553296.5
7143110.5
3641190.1
Blue83
663389.1
6116106.2
6914107.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367162010020030040050060032183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.10.4
184.0184.4
Auto24.2
Teleop146.3
End21.6
red by 82.1
6914
#40
107.90.6
110.4111.0
Auto15.1
Teleop79.9
End13.7
Second
7143
#20
110.51.1
108.7109.9
Auto16.8
Teleop81.7
End11.8
red by 4.2
6116
#32
106.20.6
102.5102.0
Auto14.5
Teleop77.4
End16.4
Third
5532
#29
96.50.9
85.286.1
Auto13.6
Teleop73.8
End10.7
red by 7.4
6633
#38
89.11.1
94.393.2
Auto14.0
Teleop64.9
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed