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Red174
5531164.3
6116106.2
3398101.4
Blue352
2612139.9
6190121.3
7191113.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3142650100200400500600700800174352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5531
#23
164.30.2
164.1164.3
Auto16.2
Teleop126.1
End19.5
red by 24.4
2612
#15
139.90.2
131.6131.8
Auto17.6
Teleop101.4
End22.9
Second
6116
#32
106.20.2
101.2101.0
Auto14.5
Teleop77.4
End16.4
blue by 15.0
6190
#14
121.30.1
121.5121.4
Auto18.0
Teleop83.8
End17.7
Third
3398
#30
101.42.0
96.498.4
Auto15.3
Teleop73.9
End17.9
blue by 12.5
7191
#26
113.90.2
107.2107.5
Auto17.2
Teleop80.9
End18.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed