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Red107
658396.2
361797.1
6914107.9
Blue406
3414139.3
6861155.7
2832162.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1803960100300500600700800107406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6914
#40
107.90.5
111.1110.6
Auto15.1
Teleop79.9
End13.7
blue by 54.6
2832
#11
162.61.9
146.2148.0
Auto20.9
Teleop117.4
End26.0
Second
3617
#33
97.10.4
92.993.3
Auto10.9
Teleop78.8
End7.4
blue by 58.6
155.72.9
132.3135.2
Auto23.7
Teleop114.8
End17.6
Third
6583
#36
96.21.0
93.794.7
Auto15.7
Teleop71.8
End11.2
blue by 43.1
3414
#10
139.30.2
125.4125.6
Auto19.1
Teleop106.6
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed