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Red328
5050182.6
3096123.7
553296.5
Blue195
1528110.6
5695127.5
3542163.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3112630200400600800328195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.60.9
169.2170.1
Auto23.9
Teleop132.1
End26.9
red by 18.7
163.90.9
147.1148.0
Auto24.0
Teleop122.2
End21.4
Second
3096
#28
123.70.6
119.7120.3
Auto14.1
Teleop95.9
End13.7
blue by 3.8
5695
#24
127.57.3
107.2114.4
Auto18.0
Teleop94.2
End14.2
Third
5532
#29
96.50.1
86.686.5
Auto13.6
Teleop73.8
End10.7
blue by 14.2
1528
#35
110.61.3
117.2115.9
Auto16.9
Teleop82.8
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed