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Red374
4851117.8
3542163.9
5050182.6
Blue198
3398101.4
3414139.3
3096123.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3812280100300500600374198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.61.4
170.1171.5
Auto23.9
Teleop132.1
End26.9
red by 43.3
3414
#10
139.30.8
125.6126.4
Auto19.1
Teleop106.6
End16.0
Second
163.90.2
148.0148.1
Auto24.0
Teleop122.2
End21.4
red by 40.2
3096
#28
123.71.1
120.3121.4
Auto14.1
Teleop95.9
End13.7
Third
4851
#18
117.80.3
114.0113.6
Auto15.6
Teleop88.7
End14.1
red by 16.5
3398
#30
101.41.2
98.499.6
Auto15.3
Teleop73.9
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed