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Red256
6914107.9
695488.4
5695127.5
Blue349
1250147.3
4380107.0
1528110.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2163110100400500256349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5695
#24
127.51.3
117.7119.1
Auto18.0
Teleop94.2
End14.2
blue by 19.8
147.30.8
139.2140.0
Auto21.5
Teleop111.1
End17.0
Second
6914
#40
107.91.2
110.6109.5
Auto15.1
Teleop79.9
End13.7
blue by 2.7
1528
#35
110.61.6
115.9114.3
Auto16.9
Teleop82.8
End7.8
Third
6954
#39
88.40.8
76.777.5
Auto15.5
Teleop64.0
End10.8
blue by 18.6
4380
#25
107.01.2
110.1108.9
Auto17.1
Teleop78.5
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed