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Red266
3619121.1
6914107.9
302209.7
Blue417
7143110.5
5531164.3
5050182.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31234902006008001,0001,2001,400266417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#2
209.72.4
196.5198.9
Auto21.8
Teleop158.8
End31.3
red by 27.1
182.61.4
172.9174.3
Auto23.9
Teleop132.1
End26.9
Second
3619
#27
121.14.3
116.0120.2
Auto17.5
Teleop88.5
End13.6
blue by 43.3
5531
#23
164.30.2
164.3164.5
Auto16.2
Teleop126.1
End19.5
Third
6914
#40
107.90.5
109.1108.6
Auto15.1
Teleop79.9
End13.7
blue by 2.5
7143
#20
110.50.9
111.6110.7
Auto16.8
Teleop81.7
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed