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Red460
3414139.3
5531164.3
6742128.6
Blue299
5695127.5
4768127.2
7174141.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3543100100200400500600460299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5531
#23
164.30.3
165.3165.6
Auto16.2
Teleop126.1
End19.5
red by 23.2
7174
#22
141.11.2
137.1138.3
Auto16.5
Teleop108.0
End18.4
Second
3414
#10
139.31.4
127.5128.8
Auto19.1
Teleop106.6
End16.0
red by 11.7
5695
#24
127.53.2
124.6127.8
Auto18.0
Teleop94.2
End14.2
Third
6742
#12
128.60.7
122.5123.1
Auto17.5
Teleop92.3
End21.9
red by 1.4
4768
#17
127.20.7
124.7125.4
Auto18.1
Teleop88.8
End20.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed