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Red274
7174141.1
3398101.4
1528110.6
Blue457
3542163.9
302209.7
503175.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1944440100300400500600274457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7174
#22
141.11.2
128.5129.7
Auto16.5
Teleop108.0
End18.4
blue by 68.5
302
#2
209.71.6
184.6186.1
Auto21.8
Teleop158.8
End31.3
Second
1528
#35
110.61.7
119.8118.1
Auto16.9
Teleop82.8
End7.8
blue by 65.0
503
#4
175.60.0
169.9169.9
Auto27.0
Teleop121.9
End26.9
Third
3398
#30
101.41.8
92.794.4
Auto15.3
Teleop73.9
End17.9
blue by 62.5
163.90.6
147.5146.9
Auto24.0
Teleop122.2
End21.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned