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Red397
302209.7
6190121.3
4851117.8
Blue190
695488.4
553296.5
361797.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4171390100200300500600700800397190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#2
209.71.0
204.1205.1
Auto21.8
Teleop158.8
End31.3
red by 112.6
3617
#33
97.10.5
95.896.3
Auto10.9
Teleop78.8
End7.4
Second
6190
#14
121.30.5
122.5121.9
Auto18.0
Teleop83.8
End17.7
red by 24.8
5532
#29
96.51.0
93.594.5
Auto13.6
Teleop73.8
End10.7
Third
4851
#18
117.80.4
116.0116.4
Auto15.6
Teleop88.7
End14.1
red by 29.4
6954
#39
88.41.7
81.783.4
Auto15.5
Teleop64.0
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned6%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed