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Red128
7175107.4
658396.2
6116106.2
Blue206
695488.4
4851117.8
3398101.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267265150200250300350400128206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7175
#21
107.41.0
103.8104.8
Auto18.7
Teleop79.9
End10.8
blue by 10.5
4851
#18
117.80.4
116.4116.8
Auto15.6
Teleop88.7
End14.1
Second
6116
#32
106.20.4
105.9106.2
Auto14.5
Teleop77.4
End16.4
red by 4.9
3398
#30
101.40.5
100.2100.6
Auto15.3
Teleop73.9
End17.9
Third
6583
#36
96.20.1
96.596.4
Auto15.7
Teleop71.8
End11.2
red by 7.8
6954
#39
88.41.6
83.485.0
Auto15.5
Teleop64.0
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed