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Red402
314157.5
5531164.3
503175.6
Blue328
5050182.6
5774138.7
6914107.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions400303100200500600402328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#4
175.60.3
176.9176.6
Auto27.0
Teleop121.9
End26.9
blue by 7.0
182.60.8
180.1181.0
Auto23.9
Teleop132.1
End26.9
Second
5531
#23
164.30.9
166.5165.6
Auto16.2
Teleop126.1
End19.5
red by 25.6
5774
#16
138.70.9
135.4136.4
Auto21.0
Teleop99.7
End18.4
Third
314
#7
157.50.7
157.0157.7
Auto21.1
Teleop116.6
End16.4
red by 49.5
6914
#40
107.90.1
108.0107.9
Auto15.1
Teleop79.9
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed