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Red174
4854112.9
361797.1
5695127.5
Blue387
7143110.5
27187.7
1528110.6
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2353640100200300400500174387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5695
#24
127.51.2
130.3129.1
Auto18.0
Teleop94.2
End14.2
blue by 60.1
27
#1
187.70.4
184.1184.4
Auto25.7
Teleop130.3
End33.4
Second
4854
#19
112.90.8
112.0112.8
Auto17.1
Teleop87.8
End7.5
red by 2.2
1528
#35
110.60.6
111.6110.9
Auto16.9
Teleop82.8
End7.8
Third
3617
#33
97.10.7
96.397.1
Auto10.9
Teleop78.8
End7.4
blue by 13.4
7143
#20
110.50.1
110.4110.2
Auto16.8
Teleop81.7
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed