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Red148
695488.4
3619121.1
6089118.6
Blue387
5695127.5
4380107.0
302209.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2313940100200300500600148387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3619
#27
121.10.3
121.4121.1
Auto17.5
Teleop88.5
End13.6
blue by 88.6
302
#2
209.71.2
206.0207.2
Auto21.8
Teleop158.8
End31.3
Second
6089
#31
118.60.7
117.9118.6
Auto15.9
Teleop89.0
End11.1
blue by 9.0
5695
#24
127.51.5
129.1127.5
Auto18.0
Teleop94.2
End14.2
Third
6954
#39
88.41.6
85.086.7
Auto15.5
Teleop64.0
End10.8
blue by 18.6
4380
#25
107.01.4
108.4107.0
Auto17.1
Teleop78.5
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed