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Red466
5774138.7
3619121.1
548146.2
Blue223
4768127.2
4851117.8
1250147.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293291200250350400450466223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#13
146.20.7
144.6143.9
Auto19.8
Teleop104.6
End24.5
blue by 1.1
147.30.2
138.9139.2
Auto21.5
Teleop111.1
End17.0
Second
5774
#16
138.70.6
120.6121.2
Auto21.0
Teleop99.7
End18.4
red by 11.5
4768
#17
127.20.1
126.1126.0
Auto18.1
Teleop88.8
End20.2
Third
3619
#27
121.110.9
81.492.3
Auto17.5
Teleop88.5
End13.6
red by 3.2
4851
#18
117.80.4
113.4113.8
Auto15.6
Teleop88.7
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed