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Red424
4392170.9
5084152.5
5878106.4
Blue151
6569122.9
4377144.8
5072143.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374284100200500600700424151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.90.4
168.2168.6
Auto15.8
Teleop134.7
End21.4
red by 26.1
4377
#10
144.80.3
144.6144.8
Auto16.7
Teleop101.7
End25.9
Second
152.50.3
150.2150.5
Auto19.5
Teleop112.5
End21.0
red by 9.0
5072
#27
143.50.5
144.0143.5
Auto16.0
Teleop107.4
End16.1
Third
5878
#35
106.40.4
103.8104.2
Auto18.0
Teleop74.1
End17.7
blue by 16.5
6569
#18
122.90.4
122.4122.9
Auto16.1
Teleop92.2
End17.4