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Qual 132018 FIM District Lake Superior State University Event
Red198
5706101.3
4391186.7
6581120.4
Blue371
439098.6
4392170.9
6558129.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333287150200250400450500198371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#5
186.72.0
176.9→179.0
Auto29.2
Teleop137.9
End19.7
red by 15.8
4392
#3
170.90.0
160.0→160.1
Auto15.8
Teleop134.7
End21.4
Second
6581
#23
120.42.1
114.1→116.3
Auto16.7
Teleop87.2
End17.4
blue by 9.6
6558
#21
129.90.2
121.1→120.9
Auto18.6
Teleop90.2
End20.7
Third
5706
#26
101.30.9
96.6→97.5
Auto14.3
Teleop78.6
End13.0
red by 2.7
4390
#38
98.60.6
108.3→107.7
Auto15.2
Teleop72.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed