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Red410
3602142.1
5714125.6
5247122.1
Blue99
5878106.4
5175129.8
5709101.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303239010020040050041099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.10.0
120.3120.3
Auto19.2
Teleop106.6
End19.0
red by 12.2
5175
#20
129.80.4
125.4125.8
Auto19.2
Teleop89.5
End20.0
Second
5714
#34
125.60.4
117.2117.6
Auto14.3
Teleop90.8
End20.0
red by 19.2
5878
#35
106.40.7
103.3103.9
Auto18.0
Teleop74.1
End17.7
Third
5247
#24
122.10.2
124.4124.2
Auto14.0
Teleop95.1
End12.6
red by 20.6
5709
#37
101.51.0
107.5106.5
Auto14.9
Teleop74.6
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed