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Red149
439098.6
5706101.3
857139.6
Blue308
5562101.6
5213122.4
6033127.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280262150200300350400450149308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#14
139.61.2
134.9136.1
Auto15.7
Teleop99.1
End22.9
red by 11.7
6033
#16
127.90.4
126.0126.4
Auto15.0
Teleop101.4
End12.6
Second
5706
#26
101.30.2
97.597.2
Auto14.3
Teleop78.6
End13.0
blue by 21.1
5213
#11
122.40.3
112.0111.7
Auto14.9
Teleop90.3
End18.7
Third
4390
#38
98.60.0
107.7107.7
Auto15.2
Teleop72.9
End7.1
blue by 2.9
5562
#30
101.60.2
99.8100.1
Auto13.5
Teleop77.8
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed