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Red349
5314151.6
5706101.3
5878106.4
Blue179
4715115.0
5175129.8
5702133.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2273170100200400500349179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.61.6
127.6129.3
Auto21.0
Teleop118.0
End12.5
red by 18.3
5702
#13
133.20.1
121.6121.7
Auto19.2
Teleop99.0
End19.2
Second
5878
#35
106.40.2
102.7102.5
Auto18.0
Teleop74.1
End17.7
blue by 23.4
5175
#20
129.81.4
123.4124.8
Auto19.2
Teleop89.5
End20.0
Third
5706
#26
101.30.1
96.696.6
Auto14.3
Teleop78.6
End13.0
blue by 13.6
4715
#39
115.00.5
113.2113.8
Auto15.4
Teleop88.2
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed