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Red415
6558129.9
6113133.8
5314151.6
Blue67
5714125.6
5878106.4
439098.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361215010030040050060070041567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.61.2
133.8135.0
Auto21.0
Teleop118.0
End12.5
red by 25.9
5714
#34
125.61.5
117.6119.1
Auto14.3
Teleop90.8
End20.0
Second
6113
#22
133.81.2
129.6130.8
Auto17.8
Teleop100.2
End17.5
red by 27.4
5878
#35
106.40.0
103.9104.0
Auto18.0
Teleop74.1
End17.7
Third
6558
#21
129.90.8
121.3122.1
Auto18.6
Teleop90.2
End20.7
red by 31.3
4390
#38
98.60.1
107.7107.5
Auto15.2
Teleop72.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed