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Red164
6345101.3
439098.6
4988119.1
Blue405
3602142.1
6569122.9
5486123.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227320100200400500164405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4988
#32
119.10.1
124.8125.0
Auto16.9
Teleop90.8
End10.9
blue by 22.9
142.11.7
121.4123.1
Auto19.2
Teleop106.6
End19.0
Second
6345
#40
101.30.2
101.2101.4
Auto15.5
Teleop71.4
End15.6
blue by 22.4
5486
#28
123.70.9
118.3119.2
Auto20.0
Teleop90.7
End9.9
Third
4390
#38
98.60.9
107.5106.6
Auto15.2
Teleop72.9
End7.1
blue by 24.2
6569
#18
122.90.7
110.1110.8
Auto16.1
Teleop92.2
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed